イギリス - 景気先行指数

The gross domestic product in the UK was unchanged in the three months to October 2019 and in line with market expectations. The services sector was the only positive contributor to GDP growth, growing by 0.2 percent. In contrast, output in both the production and construction sector contracted, by 0.7 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. For October only, the GDP showed no growth, after a 0.1 percent fall in September and against market expectations of a 0.1 percent gain.

The UK economy expanded 0.3 percent on average in the three months to September of 2019, following a downwardly revised 0.2 percent growth in the previous period and below market expectations of 0.4 percent. The main contributor to growth was the services sector, which expended by 0.4 percent. Year-on-year, the economy expanded 0.9 percent, following a downwardly revised 1.0 percent rise in August and against market expectations of a 1.0 percent gain.

The UK economy grew 0.3 percent on average in the three months to August of 2019, following an upwardly revised 0.1 percent gain and above market expectations of a 0.1 percent increase. The main contributor to growth was the services sector, which expended by 0.4 percent. Meanwhile, the production sector fell by 0.4 percent, while construction output grew by 0.1 percent. Year-on-year, the economy expanded 1.1 percent, following an upwardly revised 1.3 percent rise in July and against market expectations of a 0.9 percent gain.

The gross domestic product in the UK was unchanged in the three months to July 2019, compared to market expectations of a 0.1 percent contraction.The services sector continued to show subdued growth, expanding by just 0.2 percent. Meanwhile, output in both the production and construction sectors contracted, by 0.5 percent and 0.8 percent respectively. Within production, manufacturing fell by 1.1 percent, driven by a decline in car production as a result of car production plants bringing forward their summer shut-downs. For July only, the GDP advanced 0.3 percent, the biggest rise since January and above market consensus of a 0.1 percent growth.

The UK economy grew 0.3 percent on average in the three months to May of 2019, slowing from an upwardly revised 0.4 percent expansion in the previous period but beating market expectations of a 0.1 percent. Both the services and production sectors grew by 0.3 percent, contributing positively to growth, while construction was flat and had no contribution. Considering May only, the GDP advanced 0.3 percent, after a 0.4 percent contraction in April, boosted by a rebound in car production after Brexit-related shutdowns. Year-on-year, the economy expanded 1.5 percent, easing from an upwardly revised 1.6 percent growth in the prior month and above market forecasts of 1.3 percent.

Britain's GDP growth slowed to 0.3 percent in the three months to April 2019 from 0.5 percent in March and below market expectations of 0.4 percent. The economy contracted in the month of April mainly due to a dramatic fall in car production, with uncertainty ahead of the UK’s original EU departure date leading to planned shutdowns. There was also widespread weakness across manufacturing in April, as the boost from the early completion of orders ahead of the original Brexit date has faded.